It’s crystal clear that 2019 presidential seat will be a two horse race between APC and PDP. Although APGA will be an underdog to the race but they can still make impact if the other party fail to work effectively.
Below is DezMayorz break down on how the race will look like except something is done about it.
SOUTH – SOUTH: This is the heart and power house of PDP, with topflight politicians, the Party chairman -Secondus Uche and governor Nyesom Wike from Rivers State, also Akpabio from Akwa Ibom and former president of Nigeria-Goodluck Jonathan, all coming from PDP. The power of the APC DG- Rotimi Amaechi who is also from the south south should not be underestimated, but Dez Mayorz analysis shows that South South will go for PDP.
SOUTH – EAST is another pro- PDP region. PDP Will likely give the vice president ticket to the south East to boost their morale. APC can not do much, although Rochas Okorocha from Imo state will try to prove something good for APC. APGA is picking their momentum back in southeast and can affect PDP votes in South East. One of the problems PDP will get in South East is the IPOB members. They will definitely boycott the election reducing PDP vote strength a little. DezMayorz analysis shows SOUTH EAST will go to PDP.
PDP-68%, APC -9%, APGA -23%
3. SOUTH WEST is a zone to battle, Tinubu and Ambode will deliver Southwest, but Fayose of Ekiti and Fayode KK will ensure that APC didn’t win with margin. predominantly Igbos in Lagos will definitely go for PDP. Dezmayorz analysis shows South West will go for APC with little margin.
PDP -42%, APC -58%.
4. NORTH EAST .There is a saying that North East is for Buhari, but if Atiku Abubarka who is from Adamawa state emerged as PDP flag bearer, then, North East will be shared 50- 50 by both parties.
PDP -50% ,APC -50%.
5. NORTH WEST will also go for APC.
PDP 40%, APC -60%.
6. NORTH CENTRAL. with the on going Fulani herdsmen killing in middle belt, this will make the vote to be shared 50- 50 by both parties.
PDP -50% , APC -50%
Taking the average of the geopolitical zones percentage, you can now predict the party to win the 2019 election,
average percentage :
PDP – 59% , APC – 41%
NOTE THAT THIS IS DEZMAYORZ.ORG analysis only.